IMF sees positive growth prospects for Vietnam, urges cautious monetary policy

Martin Sommer, head of the IMF’s Article IV consultation mission team to Vietnam, noted that inflation risks in Vietnam remain under control, but several factors could add to price pressures. He therefore called for cautious monetary policy management and readiness to respond promptly if inflationary pressures increased.

Deputy Prime Minister Nguyen Van Thang met with a delegation from the International Monetary Fund (IFM) led by Martin Sommer, head of the IMF’s Article IV consultation mission team to Vietnam, in Hanoi on November 13 to discuss Vietnam’s economic outlook and policy priorities.

At the meeting, Thang thanked the IMF delegation for its serious, constructive and responsible work, with frank discussions, objective assessments and practical policy recommendations during the consultation.

1-5797.jpg
Deputy Prime Minister Nguyen Van Thang meets with Martin Sommer, head of the IMF’s Article IV consultation mission team to Vietnam, in Hanoi on November 13, 2026. (Photo: VNA)

He expressed his hope that the delegation would fully consider the information, explanations and policy views provided by Vietnamese Government agencies to ensure that the 2026 Article IV report offers a comprehensive, objective and balanced assessment of the country’s macroeconomic situation, specific circumstances, achievements, challenges and policy directions.

Sommer welcomed the Vietnamese Government’s efforts to maintain macroeconomic stability while taking decisive measures to accelerate growth. He described Vietnam as one of the world’s fast-growing economies, with positive growth prospects.

He also praised the Government’s proactive approach to structural reforms, particularly social welfare policies. These measures were moving in the right direction and would help strengthen the foundations for long-term growth, he said, encouraging Vietnam to continue pursuing them.

Sommer noted that inflation risks in Vietnam remain under control, but several factors could add to price pressures. He therefore called for cautious monetary policy management and readiness to respond promptly if inflationary pressures increased.

He said 2027 will be an important year as Vietnam implements its growth plans, requiring continued vigilance and flexibility in policy management. The IMF stands ready to provide policy advice and maintain close coordination with the Ministry of Finance and the State Bank of Vietnam, he added.

Thang said the Government, ministries, sectors and localities were working to achieve key targets, including economic growth alongside inflation control – two challenging objectives.

Under the National Assembly’s resolution on the 2027 socio-economic development plan, adopted on November 7, Vietnam aims for GDP growth of at least 10%, per capita GDP of around 6,100 USD, inflation of about 4.5%, and total social investment equivalent to 36-38% of GDP.

Achieving these targets will require strong reforms, higher productivity and more efficient resource allocation, he said. However, Vietnam will not sacrifice macroeconomic stability or the safety of its financial and banking systems for short-term, unsustainable growth.

Regarding external risks, Thang acknowledged the IMF’s concerns that geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, could trigger energy shocks, raise imported inflation and affect inflation expectations.

He said the Government is taking coordinated measures, including managing fuel prices under a market-based mechanism with State regulation, using price stabilisation tools and tax and fee policies, and providing targeted fiscal support. It was also working to ensure energy security, diversify supply sources and promote energy efficiency.

Thang also highlighted the need for comprehensive structural reforms, effective public investment and sound management of fiscal and public debt risks to improve medium-term growth prospects.

Vietnam is determined to shift from extensive to intensive growth, with productivity, efficiency and competitiveness serving as the foundations for long-term growth.

Economic growth must also go hand in hand with improvements in people’s living standards, he stressed.

en.vietnamplus.vn

Other News

Vietnam-Japan trade machine has room to run

Vietnam-Japan trade machine has room to run

Economic, trade and investment cooperation remains the core pillar and the main engine of comprehensive, sustainable bilateral ties. General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam Central Committee and President To Lam’s official visit to Japan is therefore a key moment to reinforce political trust, deepen the Comprehensive Strategic Partnership and open new cooperation opportunities in the next growth phase.

Vietnamese goods eye greater access to the Australian market

Vietnamese goods eye greater access to the Australian market

Participants at the Vietnam-Western Australia Business Forum 2026 in Perth on November 6 highlighted strong prospects for Vietnamese rice, agricultural produce and food products in the Australian market as local businesses seek to diversify supply chains.

WTO hails Vietnam's 20-year journey since accession

WTO hails Vietnam's 20-year journey since accession

Joining the World Trade Organisation (WTO) was a strategic choice for Vietnam, closely associated with its Doi Moi (Renewal) process, opening-up policy and international economic integration. Over the past two decades, international economic integration has become a driving force for institutional reforms, trade expansion, foreign investment attraction and enhancement of the country's international standing.

US to send largest-ever agricultural trade mission to Vietnam

US to send largest-ever agricultural trade mission to Vietnam

The USDA’s statistics show that Vietnam was the seventh-largest export market for American agricultural and related products in 2025, with import turnover of nearly 5.6 billion USD. The US’s 2025 agricultural exports to Vietnam increased 38% from 2024.

APEC 2027 seen as fresh impetus for Vietnam-Russia cooperation

APEC 2027 seen as fresh impetus for Vietnam-Russia cooperation

VOV.VN - Vietnam’s hosting of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit in 2027 is expected to create new momentum for cooperation between Vietnam and Russia, with opportunities to expand ties across a range of areas of mutual interest, according to Russian expert Tatyana Gorchakova.

Vietnam and Denmark expand cooperation in high-tech healthcare

Vietnam and Denmark expand cooperation in high-tech healthcare

Ambassador Nguyen Le Thanh called on Vietnamese and Danish partners to identify priority areas and promote research and training programmes, knowledge transfer and technology application in line with Politburo's Resolution No. 57-NQ/TW on breakthroughs in science – technology development, innovation and national digital transformation.

Improving FDI quality to strengthen growth momentum

Improving FDI quality to strengthen growth momentum

Rapid growth in registered capital is encouraging, but unless these commitments are promptly converted into implemented projects and productive capacity, their contribution to economic growth will remain constrained.

Vietnam well-positioned to attract high-quality European investment: insiders

Vietnam well-positioned to attract high-quality European investment: insiders

Vietnam has established a considerable manufacturing and export base, giving it an advantage in attracting investment from European corporations. However, amid the restructuring of global supply chains, the key objective is not merely to attract more investment, but also to enhance the quality of investment and the value it generates.

Vietnam needs 1,000 aircraft over next 20 years

Vietnam needs 1,000 aircraft over next 20 years

Air travel in Vietnam will grow at twice the global average, meaning the country will need to add 1,000 aircraft to its fleet over the next two decades, according to a recent forecast by Airbus.

Vietnam–EU forum to explore green economy, new value chains

Vietnam–EU forum to explore green economy, new value chains

By linking policy dialogue with businesses' practical needs, the forum is expected to help translate Vietnam–EU cooperation potential into concrete trade and investment opportunities. It will also provide an opportunity for both sides to make more effective use of the EVFTA, expand markets for Vietnamese goods and businesses, and tap into Europe's capital, technology and management expertise.

Viet Nam's trade surpasses 1 trillion USD in 10 months

Viet Nam's trade surpasses 1 trillion USD in 10 months

Viet Nam recorded a trade surplus of an estimated 6.8 billion USD in October, marking the second consecutive month of surplus and narrowing the cumulative trade deficit for the first 10 months to around 12.7 billion USD.

VEFTA opens opportunities for high-tech cooperation, innovation

VEFTA opens opportunities for high-tech cooperation, innovation

According to Vice President of the Foreign Trade University Associate Professor Dr. Dao Ngoc Tien, the VEFTA’s long-term value lies largely in its non-tariff commitments, which establish institutional frameworks, principles and cooperation mechanisms with lasting economic impacts.