IMF: Vietnamese economy to see full recovery in 2021

Six of Southeast Asia’s leading economies are expected to face diverging fiscal paths ahead in 2021, with Vietnam, alongside Indonesia and Malaysia, returning to pre-pandemic levels, according to data released by the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

Rice is one of Vietnam's major agricultural products for export to the EU (Photo: VNA)

Rice is one of Vietnam's major agricultural products for export to the EU (Photo: VNA)

Elsewhere in the region, it is anticipated that Singapore, the Philippines, and Thailand will all see their economies struggle to fully recover.

Business website Nikkei compiled the IMF's country-based projections in order to calculate real gross domestic product, setting 2019’s figures as a baseline of 100.

In line with this, Vietnam, Indonesia, and Malaysia all scored above the 100 mark for the projections ahead in 2021, thereby meaning that their respective economies are expected to expand next year compared to the level before the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak in late 2019.

Most notably, Vietnam nation is forecast to lead the group, with a projected growth index of 108.4. Indeed, S&P Global predicts that the Vietnamese economy will expand 10.9% in real terms ahead in 2021, more than any other country in the Asia-Pacific region, following a 2.91% rise recorded this year.

According to Nikkei, the country was also the only one of the six to witness real economic growth this year due to its swift and thorough success in curbing the spread of COVID-19.

"Many global companies are flocking to Vietnam, which is seeing boon in its exports," says Yuta Tsukada of the Japan Research Institute.

Given the typical low production costs in Vietnam, Tsukada believes that more companies will follow the trend of shifting operations from China, particularly if the trade war between the United States and China continues.

Furthermore, Indonesia came second with a growth index of 104.5. Whilst, Singapore, the Philippines, and Thailand are not expected to exceed the 100 mark until 2022.

According to Nikkei, despite differences in terms of their individual forecasts, all six countries could be impacted by global developments relating to COVID-19, in addition to the policies of US President-elect Joe Biden after he takes office on January 20.

VOV

Other News

Vietnam – one of most attractive destinations for leading US semiconductor companies: expert

Vietnam – one of most attractive destinations for leading US semiconductor companies: expert

Vietnam has built a solid semiconductor and electronics industry before joining ITSI, attracting major US semiconductor companies. Intel Products Vietnam is one of Intel's largest assembly and testing facilities worldwide, while chip design companies such as Synopsys, Cadence, Marvell and Qualcomm have established engineering and research centres in the Southeast Asian country.

Vietnam targets higher-quality FDI under Resolution 10

Vietnam targets higher-quality FDI under Resolution 10

During the first seven months of 2026, Vietnam attracted more than 38 billion USD in registered FDI, up nearly 58% year-on-year. More importantly, the increase was driven by large-scale, high-tech projects rather than a surge in the number of new investments, signalling a significant improvement in the quality of capital inflows.

Manufacturing, engineering drive hiring growth in H1: report

Manufacturing, engineering drive hiring growth in H1: report

Manufacturing and engineering posted the strongest recruitment growth, with hiring demand surging 70% year-on-year, driven by production expansion, supply chain restructuring and sustained investment inflows in high-tech manufacturing.

Government proposes special mechanisms to unblock APEC 2027 projects in Phu Quoc

Government proposes special mechanisms to unblock APEC 2027 projects in Phu Quoc

The projects in Phu Quoc have been implemented under tight deadlines. Since May 2025, the Prime Minister has directed preparations for APEC 2027, including accelerated infrastructure development on the special zone. An Giang province and investors have subsequently launched a number of major projects involving complex technical requirements and demanding construction schedules.

Financial market reform plan targets high, sustained growth through 2045

Financial market reform plan targets high, sustained growth through 2045

The plan seeks to develop a balanced and modern financial market that is closely integrated with regional and global markets, strengthens the mobilisation and allocation of domestic and foreign capital, and enhances the market’s role as a key provider of medium- and long-term capital for the economy and as a major driver of sustained high economic growth.

An Giang aims to become leading maritime economic hub

An Giang aims to become leading maritime economic hub

Under the province's master plan for 2021–2030 with a vision to 2050, An Giang will prioritise investment in five strategic sectors: strategic infrastructure; processing industries and clean energy; trade, services, logistics and border-gate economy; high-quality tourism; and high-tech agriculture, ecological development and the circular economy.

Lien Khuong International Airport set to reopen on August 19

Lien Khuong International Airport set to reopen on August 19

Once operations stabilise, Lien Khuong International Airport in the Central Highlands province of Lam Dong is projected to serve approximately 6,800 passengers a day, nearly 1,000 more than before its temporary closure. Passenger throughput during the final four months of 2026 is forecast to reach around 816,000.

Global buyers turn to Ho Chi Minh City for sourcing

Global buyers turn to Ho Chi Minh City for sourcing

The growing number of international retailers and importers choosing Ho Chi Minh City as a sourcing destination underscores the city's transformation from a trade promotion venue into a regional procurement hub.

PM's conclusions set to clear bottlenecks, spur corporate growth

PM's conclusions set to clear bottlenecks, spur corporate growth

The PM called on the business community, business associations and the Vietnam Chamber of Commerce and Industry (VCCI) to strengthen self-reliance, innovation and competitiveness by improving governance, adopting advanced technologies, enhancing product quality and using capital more efficiently.

Incentive policies for high-tech agricultural zones

Incentive policies for high-tech agricultural zones

Under Decree No. 263/2026/ND-CP, qualified projects are given priority to participate in State support programmes as well as funds and policies on research and development, technological innovation, technology transfer, human resource training, investment promotion and trade promotion.