It will be difficult to curb inflation if unreasonable measures are used to reach a GDP growth rate of 6.7% and low inflation rate of 4% in 2017.
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A GSO (General Statistics Office) report shows that the CPI (consumer price index) in the first six months of the year increased by 4.15% compared with same period last year.
In the first half of the year, CPI was curbed at the lowest levels compared with the same period of the last five years.
The CPI in the first half of 2017 increased by only 0.2% compared with December, the lowest increase since 2012 (it increased by 2.52% in the first six months of 2012, by 2.4% in 2013, 1.38% in 2014, 0.55% in 2015 and 2.35% in 2016).
However, analysts warn that high inflation may return by the end of the year. In previous years, CPI fell in the third quarter and rose in the fourth quarter.
Ngo Tri Long, a price expert, thinks it is not likely that the inflation rate will fall to 4% as demand has risen again and the prices of basic goods in international markets have recovered.
He said though the inflation rate was low in the last few months, pressure on inflation is high as the GDP growth rate in the first half of the year was lower than expected.
The government is still determined to obtain a high GDP growth rate of 6.7% this year despite low growth rates in the first half.
“This will put pressure on inflation as monetary policies will be loosened to boost GDP growth,” Long said.
According to the expert, more money will be pumped into the economy to help enterprises increase production.
In recent years, this has been done through two channels – OMO (open market operation) and dollar purchases from commercial banks.
The managers of commercial banks have confirmed that the State Treasury converted a big amount of demand deposits at the central bank to fixed-term deposits at commercial banks in April and May.
The increased money supply in the economy lowered interbank interest rates immediately from 4.7-4.9% per annum for a one-week loan to 2.3%.
The central bank, if wanting to curb inflation, will have to attract money back through issuing deposit certificates. However, it still has not taken such a move.
Vietnam should give priority to areas where it has potential to build strengths, particularly manufacturing and packaging.
Vietnam has built a solid semiconductor and electronics industry before joining ITSI, attracting major US semiconductor companies. Intel Products Vietnam is one of Intel's largest assembly and testing facilities worldwide, while chip design companies such as Synopsys, Cadence, Marvell and Qualcomm have established engineering and research centres in the Southeast Asian country.
According to the Ministry of Construction, Vietnam has around 2,500 old apartment blocks and collective housing complexes built before 1994, covering about 3 million square metres of floor space, mainly in Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City. Of these, around 196 have been classified as severely deteriorated and unsafe.
Durian exports reached nearly 1.1 billion USD in the first six months of 2026, up 32% year-on-year. The industry's strongest export season, however, is still ahead.
The country's agro-forestry-aquatic product exports reached nearly 42.8 billion USD in the January–July period, up 7.5% year-on-year and equivalent to almost 60% of the annual target of 74 billion USD.
During the first seven months of 2026, Vietnam attracted more than 38 billion USD in registered FDI, up nearly 58% year-on-year. More importantly, the increase was driven by large-scale, high-tech projects rather than a surge in the number of new investments, signalling a significant improvement in the quality of capital inflows.
Manufacturing and engineering posted the strongest recruitment growth, with hiring demand surging 70% year-on-year, driven by production expansion, supply chain restructuring and sustained investment inflows in high-tech manufacturing.
Vietnam's total import-export turnover reached 659.58 billion USD in the first seven months of 2026, up 28.1% year-on-year.
The projects in Phu Quoc have been implemented under tight deadlines. Since May 2025, the Prime Minister has directed preparations for APEC 2027, including accelerated infrastructure development on the special zone. An Giang province and investors have subsequently launched a number of major projects involving complex technical requirements and demanding construction schedules.
The NSO also reported that realised FDI reached an estimated 15.2 billion USD during the January-July period, an increase of 11.8% from a year earlier and the highest seven-month disbursement recorded over the past five years.
Household deposits at banks reached a new high of 10.8 quadrillion VND (414 billion USD) at the end of May, up more than 108 trillion VND from April and increasing by 4.76% from the beginning of the year, equivalent to nearly 492 trillion VND.
The plan seeks to develop a balanced and modern financial market that is closely integrated with regional and global markets, strengthens the mobilisation and allocation of domestic and foreign capital, and enhances the market’s role as a key provider of medium- and long-term capital for the economy and as a major driver of sustained high economic growth.
Under the province's master plan for 2021–2030 with a vision to 2050, An Giang will prioritise investment in five strategic sectors: strategic infrastructure; processing industries and clean energy; trade, services, logistics and border-gate economy; high-quality tourism; and high-tech agriculture, ecological development and the circular economy.
According to the VCCI, these measures are not only necessary for managing potential risks arising from US trade actions but also crucial to enhancing competitiveness and meeting growing international expectations on compliance, product origin, quality and transparency.
Businesses say the biggest obstacle to reducing emissions and transforming production models remains the lack of financial resources needed to upgrade technologies, modernise production lines and build governance systems that comply with global sustainability standards.
Once operations stabilise, Lien Khuong International Airport in the Central Highlands province of Lam Dong is projected to serve approximately 6,800 passengers a day, nearly 1,000 more than before its temporary closure. Passenger throughput during the final four months of 2026 is forecast to reach around 816,000.
The growing number of international retailers and importers choosing Ho Chi Minh City as a sourcing destination underscores the city's transformation from a trade promotion venue into a regional procurement hub.
The PM called on the business community, business associations and the Vietnam Chamber of Commerce and Industry (VCCI) to strengthen self-reliance, innovation and competitiveness by improving governance, adopting advanced technologies, enhancing product quality and using capital more efficiently.
Under Decree No. 263/2026/ND-CP, qualified projects are given priority to participate in State support programmes as well as funds and policies on research and development, technological innovation, technology transfer, human resource training, investment promotion and trade promotion.
In its latest economic outlook report, Standard Chartered said the adjustment follows Vietnam’s positive economic performance in the first half of the year, with growth drivers continuing to gain momentum.